wepidemics

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title of the paper: Superspreading and the effect of individual variation on disease emergence

keywords: superspreading, dispersion, control, estimation

Parameters: r0, dispersion

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Content

From the paper:

Here we present an integrated theoretical and statistical analysis of the influence of individual variation in infectiousness on disease emergence. Using contact tracing data from eight directly transmitted diseases, we show that the distribution of individual infectiousness around R0 is often highly skewed. Model predictions accounting for this variation differ sharply from average-based approaches, with disease extinction more likely and outbreaks rarer but more explosive.”

original entry: https://github.com/UT-IDDynamics/wepidemics/blob/main/data/superspread.md